Is Taiwan Independence an Option?
Bevin Chu
February 24, 2006
Political independence for the island of Taiwan has been a long-smoldering controversy. Recently "President" Chen Shui-bian deliberately fanned the issue, causing it to burst into flames. Halfway into his illegal and illegitimate "second term," Chen's approval ratings had fallen to an a mere 10% according to most public opinion polls, and as low as 5% according to one poll. Chen desperately needed to divert public attention from his administration's rampant corruption and to consolidate support for himself among Taiwan independence hardliners. Therefore on January 29, 2006, Chinese New Year, Chen deliberately and maliciously dropped a political bombshell, by announcing that he was contemplating abolishing the National Unfiication Council and the National Unification Guidelines.
Chen's ploy worked, like a charm. With the notable exception of the popular TV talk show "21:00, The People Speak," whose panelists refused to be diverted from their ongoing investigation into ruling DPP malfeasance, most of the media began talking about Taiwan independence vs. Chinese reunification. Few in the media talked about the Kaohsiung Mass Rapid Transit (KMRT) scandal and other outrageous ruling DPP regime scandals.
Taiwan Independence, Not an Option
Is Taiwan independence an option?
The short answer is no, absolutely not.
Taiwan independence, as even Chen Shui-bian himself conceded in a moment of rare honesty, is "self-delusion [and] a myth." Taiwan independence is not a real world option by any criterion one cares to contemplate. Taiwan independence is neither constitutionally permissible, nor politically practicable, nor culturally justifiable, nor economically profitable. Taiwan independence is a non-starter, any way one looks at it.
Pan Blue Apologism
Given this harsh reality, one would think that Pan Blue political leaders would have an easy time rebutting the ridiculous claims of Pan Green demagogues. One would think that demolishing Pan Green arguments for Taiwan independence would be like shooting fish in a barrel.
Alas, this has not been the case. Pan Blue political leaders have seldom succeeded in hitting any Pan Green fish as they swam mindlessly in rhetorical circles. More often than not they have succeeded only in shooting themselves in the foot, in snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Long-suffering Pan Blue supporters have a expression for this phenomenon -- "you li shuo bu qin," which roughly translated means, "To be in the right, but unable to make one's case."
A February 15, 2006 China Post article entitled "KMT tries to clarify ad with independence as possibility" reports on the latest outbreak of this chronic Pan Blue ailment:
Kuomintang (KMT) leader Ma Ying-jeou and other officials yesterday scrambled to clarify an advertisement published by the party suggesting the KMT viewed independence for Taiwan as a possible option. In a front page advertisement in the independence-leaning Liberty Times the KMT's central headquarters published an ad touting democracy as a means of determining the island's future and listing independence as an option.
"The Chinese KMT firmly believes in the spirit of democracy that there are many possible options for Taiwan's future. The people should decide on these options, regardless of whether it is unification, independence or maintaining the status quo," the advertisement said.
Listing independence as an option for the island's future would run counter to the KMT's official charter and platform, which advocates eventual unification with the mainland. The advertisement was dubbed by local media yesterday as an enormous policy turnaround for Taiwan's largest opposition party.
Despite hasty damage control clarifying the "independence is an option" issue as a misunderstanding, KMT Chairman Ma Ying-jeou has already suffered political damage that he, the Pan Blue parties, and the Republic of China can ill afford. A February 16, 2006 ERA TV opinion poll revealed that 36.6% of the public believes that Ma's current position on reunification and independence is either "very different" or "slightly different" from what it was before the advertisement ran. Considering that Ma's approval rating stood at 80% following the December 2005 County and Municipal Elections, the perception that Ma's position now is either "very different" or "slightly different" can hardly be considered a positive development.
Lien Chan's retirement from the political stage leaves Ma Ying-jeou as the sole remaining Pan Blue leader in a position to rescue the island from Taiwan independence Quisling misrule. A Pan Blue loss in 2008 is not an option. Four more years of Pan Green "wen hua tai du" (culturally-oriented Taiwan independence) indoctrination is a prospect too appalling to contemplate. That is why public relations disasters such as the "independence is an option" fiasco must never happen again.
Unearned Guilt
"The worst guilt is to accept an unearned guilt."
-- Ayn Rand
How did this "independence is an option" fiasco happen? More importantly, why did it happen? Most importantly, how can it be prevented from happening ever again?
This and other similar fiascoes happened because too many Pan Blue leaders feel morally disarmed in the face of Pan Green Political Correctness. They feel morally disarmed, despite the fact that they are in the right and their Pan Green adversaries are in the wrong, because they lack confidence in their own "zhong ji tong yi" (Eventual Reunification) political ideal. As a result, Pan Green assertions of the "Right of Self-Determination" appear as sacred cows to which they must meekly yield the right of way.
Pan Blue leaders must take the time to understand the merits and demerits of Pan Blue and Pan Green ideology, inside out, backwards and forwards. Only then will Pan Blue leaders be able to look Pan Green adversaries straight in the eye, confident in the knowledge that they, not their adversaries, occupy the moral as well as legal high ground.
Pan Blue leaders must satisfy themselves that Eventual Reunification within the framework of Constitutionalism and the Rule of Law, soundly trumps petty ethnic Hoklo Fascist "nation-building" in accordance with the Rule of the Mob. Only then will Pan Blue leaders realize that they need not, nay, must not, make timid concessions to Pan Green Political Correctness.
As Ayn Rand aptly noted, "The worst guilt is to accept an unearned guilt."
Pan Blue leaders, who after all, are Chinese patriots, must recall the wisdom of the great Chinese military strategist, Sun Zi, who wrote: "Know yourself, know your enemy. A hundred battles, a hundred victories."
Self-Determination for All
Does the "Right of Self-Determination" confer legal, and more importantly, moral legitimacy on the secessionist demands of Taiwan independence Quislings? Does the "Right of Self-Determination" leave Pan Blue leaders who insist on Eventual Reunification in accordance with Constitutionalism and the Rule of Law with no leg to stand on?
Hardly. The "Right of Self-Determination" is a double-edged sword, an extremely sharp sword that cuts both ways.
As famed Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises noted in his book "Liberalism":
"The right of self-determination ... is ... the right of self-determination of the inhabitants of every territory large enough to form an independent administrative unit. If it were in any way possible to grant this right of self-determination to every individual person, it would have to be done."
If Taiwan independence Quislings expect others to honor their demands for political secession from China, then they are obligated to honor others' demands for political secession from any "Nation of Taiwan" they might succeed in founding. If Taiwan independence Quislings refuse to honor others' demands for political secession from any "Nation of Taiwan" they might succeed in founding, then others are not obligated to honor their demands for political secession from China.
The Republic of Singapore is a sovereign and independent nation, and a member of the United Nations. With a population of just over 4 million, three-fourths of whom are ethnic Chinese, Singapore is a mere fifth the size of the Taiwan region of China, with a population just under 23 million. Using Singapore as a hypothetical standard, one could form five independent nations from the population of Taiwan.
The Republic of Nauru, a tiny island in the remote South Pacific, is also a sovereign and independent nation, also a member of the United Nations. With a population of 13,000 and a land area of 21 square kilometers, Nauru is the smallest nation on earth, in both population and land area. Using Nauru as a hypothetical standard, one could form nearly 1,800 [ ! ] independent republics from the population of Taiwan.
Principled and consistent application of the "Right of Self-Determination" would legitimize the secession of ever smaller political entities from whatever larger political entity they currently belong to, stopping only at the level of the individual. Principled and consistent application of the "Right of Self-Determination" would authorize every property owner on earth to hold a referendum, with himself as the sole voter, declare his own private plot of land a sovereign republic, and refuse to pay taxes to the nation, the state or province, the city or county in which he (formerly) resided.
During the bitter post election protests in 2004, many Pan Blue protestors suggested that rather than suffer passively as Pan Green Quislings engaged in creeping secession from China, the Pan Blue democratic majority on Taiwan ought to seize the initiative and declare an independent loyalist Chinese republic in the northern half of the island, confirm Lien Chan as Pan Blue president, pay taxes to Pan Blue officials, and leave Taiwan independence Quislings in the south to starve themselves to death with their economically suicidal protectionist policies.
As a champion of "market anarchism" aka "anarcho-capitalism," I am willing to accept the natural outcome of principled and consistent application of the "Right of Self-Determination." In fact, I welcome it.
Self-Determination for Me
Are Taiwan independence Quislings principled and consistent champions of the "Right of Self-Determination?"
Are they willing to honor demands for political independence from any would be "Republic of Taiwan" they might succeed in establishing?
Is anyone obligated to honor their self-righteous, unilateral demands for political independence from China?
The answer to all these questions is "No, no, and no."
Taiwan independence Quislings are self-centered narcissists who demand independence for themselves, but refuse to allow independence for others. I made this point in my column seven years ago, in 1999. At the time I was merely making a logical inference. Now I am citing an established fact.
To wit, a June 16, 2004 Singapore's Straits Times news article entitled "Taipei forcibly evicts hundreds who settled on leased government land as their 'country within a country.'"
TAIPEI - President Chen Shui-bian, widely believed to want independence for Taiwan, has, ironically, denied the same to a group who are the original Taiwanese - the aborigines. His government, on learning that hundreds of them have formed their own "Kaosha Republic," ordered a crackdown, sending in 500 armed police to disperse them from a site they have claimed as the seat of their republic. The police raided the 6ha site in southern Kaohsiung county early yesterday, ordering the inhabitants to evacuate before four bulldozers tore down the more than 270 illegal structures. The residents claimed they had been tricked by Chen aides, who had told them that if they supported his re-election, their "republic" would be legalised ... "A-Bian told us he would establish 'country within country' relations with the aborigines if we voted for him," said Mr Tang Chao-cheng, a self-proclaimed "Speaker" of the "Taiwan People Parliament." [The] Kaosha Republic... had its own flag and anthem, and a temporary government and parliament.
One of the most frequently heard complaints from Taiwan independence Quislings is that authorities on the Chinese mainland refuse to refrain from using force to forstall Taiwan independence.
This is perfectly true. But so what?
Ruling DPP regime behavior while suppressing Kaosha Republic independence demonstrated that Taiwan independence Quislings had no qualms whatsoever about using force to prevent Taiwan's Aborigines from seceding from their Hoklo Chauvinist "Republic of Taiwan." Not a single Pan Green champion of independence for Taiwan raised his voice in protest when their Fuhrer Chen Shui-bian ordered stormtroopers and bulldozers to forestall independence from Taiwan. Not one.
Nor did a single Pan Green champion of "Taiwan's Right of Self-Determination" raise his voice in protest when their Vice-fuhrer Annette Lu scapegoated Taiwan's Aborigines, blaming them for overdevelopment, deforestation, soil erosion, and flooding in Taiwan's central mountain range. Aboriginal victims of Tropical Storm Mindulle, Lu declared, deserved no sympathy. They should be relocated en masse to Central and South America for damaging Taiwan's ecology. The island should be left in the hands of those whom Taiwan independence fascists designate as "real Taiwanese," i.e., themselves.
BBC News Report: Aborigines protest Racial Bigotry in Taipei, demand Apology from Vice President Lu over Proposal to Ethnically Cleanse Taiwan of Aborigines
See:
原住民台北反歧視集會促呂秀蓮道歉 Aborigines protest Racial Bigotry in Taipei, demand Apology from Vice President Lu [traditional Chinese]
What right do they have to complain when Pan Blue leaders insist on defending the national sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Republic of China, the first and oldest republic in Asia, one that has been in continuous existence since 1912, and whose constitution was modeled on the Constitution of the United States of America?
For that matter, what right to they have to complain when mainland Chinese authorities pass an "Anti-Secession Law" defending the national sovereignty and territorial integrity of China against undisguised Japanese Neocolonialism?
See:
Independence for Me but not for Thee
One Standard for All
"Moral judgments must be "universalizable." This notion owed something to the ancient Golden Rule... anyone who uses such terms as right and ought is logically committed to universalizability. To say that a moral judgment must be universalizable means... if I judge a particular action... to be wrong, I must also judge any relevantly similar action to be wrong. The same judgment must be made in all conceivable cases... the same prescription has to be made in all hypothetically, as well as actually, similar cases."
-- Britannica.com, Ethics/20th-century Western ethics/Metaethics/Universal prescriptivism
If the nations of the world wish to adopt revolutionary new rules authorizing the "Right of Self-determination," then they are obligated to honor everyones' "Right of Self-Determination," not just some peoples' "Right of Self-Determination."
As the Britannica.com entry made abundantly clear, moral judgments must be universalizable. The same judgment must be made in all conceivable cases. The same prescription has to be made in all hypothetically as well as actually similar cases.
If, on the other hand, the nations of the world wish to abide by traditional rules governing national sovereignty and territorial integrity, then patriotic Chinese on Taiwan and the Chinese mainland are fully within their rights to insist that Taiwan independence is not an option, that Taiwan independence Quislings have no right to demand secession from China, and that the nations of the world must respect China's national sovereignty and territorial integrity.
Pan Blue leaders can and ought to look Pan Green adversaries straight in the eye, confident in the knowledge that they, not their Pan Green adversaries, occupy the moral as well as legal high ground. Eventual Reunification within the Rule of Law framework of a long-established constitutional republic soundly trumps race-based Hoklo Fascist "nation-building" on the basis of "democratic" Mob Rule. Not only do Pan Blue leaders have no obligation to make pusillanimous concessions to Pan Green Political Correctness, they have a solemn obligation to seize the initiative and thoroughly discredit Pan Green ethnic bigotry.
Saturday, February 25, 2006
Saturday, February 18, 2006
Fearless
Fearless
Bevin Chu
February 17, 2006
Movie review of Fearless, posted at:
http://electricshadows.wordpress.com/2006/04/14/fearless/
Bevin Chu
February 17, 2006
Movie review of Fearless, posted at:
http://electricshadows.wordpress.com/2006/04/14/fearless/
Sunday, February 05, 2006
The Beginning of the End, Part VIII
The Beginning of the End, Part VIII
Live by Betrayal, Die by Betrayal
Bevin Chu
February 4, 2006
Today, as the Cold War has ended, it is time for the two sides to cast aside the hostility left from the old era. We do not need to wait further because there is a new opportunity now for the two sides to create an era of reconciliation together. The people on the two sides of the Taiwan Strait share the same ancestral, cultural, and historical background ... the leaders on both sides possess enough wisdom and creativity to jointly deal with the question of a future "one China." I fully understand that, as the popularly elected 10th-term president of the Republic of China, I must abide by the Constitution ... Therefore ... I pledge that during my term in office, I will not declare independence, I will not change the national title, I will not push forth the inclusion of the so-called "state-to-state" description in the Constitution, and I will not promote a referendum to change the status quo in regard to the question of independence or unification. Furthermore, there is no question of abolishing the Guidelines for National Unification and the National Unification Council.
-- Chen Shui-bian, May 20, 2000 Inauguration Speech
It is my belief that both sides must demonstrate a dedicated commitment to national development, and through consultation, establish a dynamic "peace and stability framework" for interactions; that we must work together to guarantee there will be no unilateral change to the status quo in the Taiwan Strait; and, additionally, we must further promote cultural, economic and trade exchanges--including the three links--for only in so doing can we ensure the welfare of our peoples while fulfilling the expectations of the international community. As the President of the Republic of China, I have been mandated by the people ... to safeguard peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, to seek consensus and garner the collective support of all the people, and to carefully manage future relations across the Strait. Today I would like to reaffirm the promises and principles set forth in my inaugural speech in 2000. Those commitments have been honored--they have not changed over the past four years, nor will they change in the next four years.
-- Chen Shui-bian, May 20, 2004 Inauguration Speech
There are people urging that the National Unification Council and its guidelines be abolished. I think now is the appropriate time, we must seriously consider it, take a good look at it ... This kind of council and its representatives seek a unified China, and under the guidelines, even accepts the One China Principle. These are all problems ... What Chinese unification are we after? In addition to considering whether to abrogate the National Unification Council and National Unification Guidelines, I'd like to see the nation [sic] join the United Nations with the name of Taiwan. In addition, I'd like to see the draft of a new constitution completed by the end of the year so it can be put to a popular vote next year.
-- Chen Shui-bian, January 29, 2006 Luncheon Address at Matou Junior High School, Tainan County
In a previous article I asked rhetorically, "How can one tell when Chen Shui-bian is lying?"
I answered rhetorically, "His lips are moving."
As you can see, Chen Shui-bian's January 26, 2006 Tainan address betrays his May 20, 2000 Five Noes Pledge, as well as his May 20, 2004 reaffirmation of his Five Noes Pledge.
One could end this op ed piece here, except that proving that Chen Shui-bian is a chronic and habitual liar whose solemn oaths mean nothing is hardly worth the effort. Hardly anybody on Taiwan, Pan Blue or Pan Green, believes anything Chen says any more.
Scientific polls reveal public approval for the Chen Shui-bian administration at 10%. Among the business community approval is even lower -- 5%. So low it's approaching the margin of error for scientific polls, which is normally 3%.
During Chen Shui-bian's first term, Pan Green voters winked at Chen's perfidy, his deliberate breach of faith, his calculated violation of trust, his treachery. They listened to the Five Noes Pledge in Chen's inauguration speech and chuckled at each other. "A-Bian is pulling a fast one on the Pan Blues. He'll tell them one thing, then do another thing. He's lying to them for our sake."
During the 2004 Presidential Election, Pan Green voters again winked at Chen's deceit. They pretended to believe that the 319 Shooting Incident was a genuine assassination attempt, executed by the KMT and PFP with covert CCP assistance. They pretended to believe that Chen Shui-bian was "re-elected by a razor-thin margin of 20,000 odd sympathy votes," rather than resoundingly defeated by approximately one million votes.
They told themselves that as long as "their man" A-Bian was lying to the Pan Blues, their hated enemy, shameless deceit was fine with them.
Pan Green voters were pathetically naive, even more naive than those Pan Blue voters who assumed the 2004 Presidential Election would be "free and fair." Pan Green voters, no less than Pan Blue voters, should have realized that within democracy's "free and fair" electoral process, "nothing matters more than winning, not even what you believe in." Pan Green voters should have realized that if unprincipled opportunists such as Chen Shui-bian would stoop to deceiving trusting Republic of China citizens for "a higher cause," they could stoop to deceiving Taiwan independence True Believers for an even higher cause, themselves.
Now, six years later, two years into Chen's illegal, illegitimate "second term," Pan Green voters who abetted Chen's subversion of the Rule of Law are getting their comeuppance.
As a February 1, 2006 Reuters article entitled "Chen China-baiting aims to boost Taiwan popularity" reports:
Chen Shui-bian's warning he may scrap a key policy body on Chinese reunification seems aimed at stirring anti-Beijing feeling to boost his low ratings and stay relevant ahead of [the] 2008 elections. The latest comments came as the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), crushed in December local polls, looks towards the 2008 presidential race and as Chen, barred from seeking a third term, battles criticism that he is now politically irrelevant. "He is trying to use this to show he's not a lame duck, he still has the influence to decide who will be the next candidate in 2008," said Philip Yang, professor of political science at National Taiwan University. "The logic behind this series of pro-independence comments is to try to position himself back amongst DPP supporters as a pro-independence leader," Yang said.
Others agree that Chen's motives lie in positioning himself ahead of the election and in thoughts of his legacy. While he is unlikely to pursue formal independence, they say, his provocation of [mainland] China could backfire on his beleaguered party. "Of course ideally he would like to seek so-called 'creeping independence'. but everybody understands that is not possible as the U.S. would give him pressure and [mainland] China would strongly react," said George Tsai, international relations fellow at Cheng Chi University. Tsai said that if a prospective DPP presidential candidate, such as newly appointed premier Su Tseng-chang, was to have a chance, he must seek to win over "middle-of-the-road" voters, who generally have far more moderate views on Taiwan independence. "Maybe this is good for (Chen), but not good for the party, not good for Taiwan's immediate or mid-term future. Nobody is going to get any benefit except Chen himself," Tsai said.
Yang and Tsai are correct.
For nearly two decades, loyal citizens of the Republic of China have watched in frustration as Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian obfuscated the crucial distinction between the Republic of China and an ersatz "Nation of Taiwan," between a republic and a democracy, between the Rule of Law and the Rule of the Mob. ROC citizens' political naivete concerning these critical distinctions has cost the Chinese people on Taiwan their lives, liberty, and happiness.
Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian, as I have reiterated, are Taiwan independence Quislings. If Taiwan independence were possible, Lee and Chen would have jumped at the chance to declare Taiwan independence, to fulfill their followers' dreams of a "Republic of Taiwan," and last but hardly least, turn themselves into "national heroes" for good measure.
But Taiwan independence is not possible. As Chen himself conceded in a moment of rare honesty, "The situation does not permit us to change the name of the country at the moment, or even during the rest of my term... Lee Teng-hui couldn't do it during his 12 year term, and I can't do it in mine. Taiwan independence is self-delusion. Taiwan independence is a myth."
As a result, Chen Shui-bian, like his predecessor Lee Teng-hui, has channeled his energies into siphoning the nation's wealth into his numbered bank account in Zurich, a task that is far more doable, not to mention far more personally rewarding.
Taiwan independence hardliners bemoan the fact that unprincipled, opportunistic Taiwan independence leaders have, one after the other, strung them along and betrayed their cause. Taiwan independence hardliners bemoan the fact that leaders such as Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian will be the death of the Taiwan independence movement.
Taiwan independence hardliners' frustration may be genuine, but is it justified?
Hardly.
The Taiwan independence movement has found itself repeatedly betrayed by treacherous opportunists because the Taiwan independence movement itself is rooted in betrayal. Taiwan "independence" is about opportunistic Chinese Quislings without a sense of honor betraying the Chinese nation for their private ambition. To expect a movement rooted in betrayal to attract leaders of integrity whose loyalty is not for sale is a psychological and ethical non-compute.
When the epitaph for Taiwan independence is written, it's going to read:
Taiwan Independence, RIP
It Lived by Betrayal. It Died by Betrayal
Live by Betrayal, Die by Betrayal
Bevin Chu
February 4, 2006
Today, as the Cold War has ended, it is time for the two sides to cast aside the hostility left from the old era. We do not need to wait further because there is a new opportunity now for the two sides to create an era of reconciliation together. The people on the two sides of the Taiwan Strait share the same ancestral, cultural, and historical background ... the leaders on both sides possess enough wisdom and creativity to jointly deal with the question of a future "one China." I fully understand that, as the popularly elected 10th-term president of the Republic of China, I must abide by the Constitution ... Therefore ... I pledge that during my term in office, I will not declare independence, I will not change the national title, I will not push forth the inclusion of the so-called "state-to-state" description in the Constitution, and I will not promote a referendum to change the status quo in regard to the question of independence or unification. Furthermore, there is no question of abolishing the Guidelines for National Unification and the National Unification Council.
-- Chen Shui-bian, May 20, 2000 Inauguration Speech
It is my belief that both sides must demonstrate a dedicated commitment to national development, and through consultation, establish a dynamic "peace and stability framework" for interactions; that we must work together to guarantee there will be no unilateral change to the status quo in the Taiwan Strait; and, additionally, we must further promote cultural, economic and trade exchanges--including the three links--for only in so doing can we ensure the welfare of our peoples while fulfilling the expectations of the international community. As the President of the Republic of China, I have been mandated by the people ... to safeguard peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, to seek consensus and garner the collective support of all the people, and to carefully manage future relations across the Strait. Today I would like to reaffirm the promises and principles set forth in my inaugural speech in 2000. Those commitments have been honored--they have not changed over the past four years, nor will they change in the next four years.
-- Chen Shui-bian, May 20, 2004 Inauguration Speech
There are people urging that the National Unification Council and its guidelines be abolished. I think now is the appropriate time, we must seriously consider it, take a good look at it ... This kind of council and its representatives seek a unified China, and under the guidelines, even accepts the One China Principle. These are all problems ... What Chinese unification are we after? In addition to considering whether to abrogate the National Unification Council and National Unification Guidelines, I'd like to see the nation [sic] join the United Nations with the name of Taiwan. In addition, I'd like to see the draft of a new constitution completed by the end of the year so it can be put to a popular vote next year.
-- Chen Shui-bian, January 29, 2006 Luncheon Address at Matou Junior High School, Tainan County
In a previous article I asked rhetorically, "How can one tell when Chen Shui-bian is lying?"
I answered rhetorically, "His lips are moving."
As you can see, Chen Shui-bian's January 26, 2006 Tainan address betrays his May 20, 2000 Five Noes Pledge, as well as his May 20, 2004 reaffirmation of his Five Noes Pledge.
One could end this op ed piece here, except that proving that Chen Shui-bian is a chronic and habitual liar whose solemn oaths mean nothing is hardly worth the effort. Hardly anybody on Taiwan, Pan Blue or Pan Green, believes anything Chen says any more.
Scientific polls reveal public approval for the Chen Shui-bian administration at 10%. Among the business community approval is even lower -- 5%. So low it's approaching the margin of error for scientific polls, which is normally 3%.
During Chen Shui-bian's first term, Pan Green voters winked at Chen's perfidy, his deliberate breach of faith, his calculated violation of trust, his treachery. They listened to the Five Noes Pledge in Chen's inauguration speech and chuckled at each other. "A-Bian is pulling a fast one on the Pan Blues. He'll tell them one thing, then do another thing. He's lying to them for our sake."
During the 2004 Presidential Election, Pan Green voters again winked at Chen's deceit. They pretended to believe that the 319 Shooting Incident was a genuine assassination attempt, executed by the KMT and PFP with covert CCP assistance. They pretended to believe that Chen Shui-bian was "re-elected by a razor-thin margin of 20,000 odd sympathy votes," rather than resoundingly defeated by approximately one million votes.
They told themselves that as long as "their man" A-Bian was lying to the Pan Blues, their hated enemy, shameless deceit was fine with them.
Pan Green voters were pathetically naive, even more naive than those Pan Blue voters who assumed the 2004 Presidential Election would be "free and fair." Pan Green voters, no less than Pan Blue voters, should have realized that within democracy's "free and fair" electoral process, "nothing matters more than winning, not even what you believe in." Pan Green voters should have realized that if unprincipled opportunists such as Chen Shui-bian would stoop to deceiving trusting Republic of China citizens for "a higher cause," they could stoop to deceiving Taiwan independence True Believers for an even higher cause, themselves.
Now, six years later, two years into Chen's illegal, illegitimate "second term," Pan Green voters who abetted Chen's subversion of the Rule of Law are getting their comeuppance.
As a February 1, 2006 Reuters article entitled "Chen China-baiting aims to boost Taiwan popularity" reports:
Chen Shui-bian's warning he may scrap a key policy body on Chinese reunification seems aimed at stirring anti-Beijing feeling to boost his low ratings and stay relevant ahead of [the] 2008 elections. The latest comments came as the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), crushed in December local polls, looks towards the 2008 presidential race and as Chen, barred from seeking a third term, battles criticism that he is now politically irrelevant. "He is trying to use this to show he's not a lame duck, he still has the influence to decide who will be the next candidate in 2008," said Philip Yang, professor of political science at National Taiwan University. "The logic behind this series of pro-independence comments is to try to position himself back amongst DPP supporters as a pro-independence leader," Yang said.
Others agree that Chen's motives lie in positioning himself ahead of the election and in thoughts of his legacy. While he is unlikely to pursue formal independence, they say, his provocation of [mainland] China could backfire on his beleaguered party. "Of course ideally he would like to seek so-called 'creeping independence'. but everybody understands that is not possible as the U.S. would give him pressure and [mainland] China would strongly react," said George Tsai, international relations fellow at Cheng Chi University. Tsai said that if a prospective DPP presidential candidate, such as newly appointed premier Su Tseng-chang, was to have a chance, he must seek to win over "middle-of-the-road" voters, who generally have far more moderate views on Taiwan independence. "Maybe this is good for (Chen), but not good for the party, not good for Taiwan's immediate or mid-term future. Nobody is going to get any benefit except Chen himself," Tsai said.
Yang and Tsai are correct.
For nearly two decades, loyal citizens of the Republic of China have watched in frustration as Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian obfuscated the crucial distinction between the Republic of China and an ersatz "Nation of Taiwan," between a republic and a democracy, between the Rule of Law and the Rule of the Mob. ROC citizens' political naivete concerning these critical distinctions has cost the Chinese people on Taiwan their lives, liberty, and happiness.
Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian, as I have reiterated, are Taiwan independence Quislings. If Taiwan independence were possible, Lee and Chen would have jumped at the chance to declare Taiwan independence, to fulfill their followers' dreams of a "Republic of Taiwan," and last but hardly least, turn themselves into "national heroes" for good measure.
But Taiwan independence is not possible. As Chen himself conceded in a moment of rare honesty, "The situation does not permit us to change the name of the country at the moment, or even during the rest of my term... Lee Teng-hui couldn't do it during his 12 year term, and I can't do it in mine. Taiwan independence is self-delusion. Taiwan independence is a myth."
As a result, Chen Shui-bian, like his predecessor Lee Teng-hui, has channeled his energies into siphoning the nation's wealth into his numbered bank account in Zurich, a task that is far more doable, not to mention far more personally rewarding.
Taiwan independence hardliners bemoan the fact that unprincipled, opportunistic Taiwan independence leaders have, one after the other, strung them along and betrayed their cause. Taiwan independence hardliners bemoan the fact that leaders such as Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian will be the death of the Taiwan independence movement.
Taiwan independence hardliners' frustration may be genuine, but is it justified?
Hardly.
The Taiwan independence movement has found itself repeatedly betrayed by treacherous opportunists because the Taiwan independence movement itself is rooted in betrayal. Taiwan "independence" is about opportunistic Chinese Quislings without a sense of honor betraying the Chinese nation for their private ambition. To expect a movement rooted in betrayal to attract leaders of integrity whose loyalty is not for sale is a psychological and ethical non-compute.
When the epitaph for Taiwan independence is written, it's going to read:
Taiwan Independence, RIP
It Lived by Betrayal. It Died by Betrayal
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